Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.119381 0.128059 0.137048 0.147061 0.157910 0.169317 0.182230
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.106052 0.118935 0.132963 0.149403 0.168182 0.189009 0.213921
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.095539 0.110354 0.127031 0.147257 0.171205 0.198756 0.232998
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.087973 0.104061 0.122665 0.145865 0.174158 0.207710 0.250765
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.080669 0.097340 0.117056 0.142231 0.173710 0.212022 0.262555
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075503 0.092742 0.113548 0.140682 0.175391 0.218643 0.277151
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071816 0.089665 0.111612 0.140802 0.178938 0.227518 0.294810
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067548 0.085568 0.108095 0.138586 0.179182 0.231936 0.306596
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.064285 0.082552 0.105746 0.137667 0.180937 0.238243 0.321035
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063346 0.082480 0.107165 0.141717 0.189427 0.253859 0.348954
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060614 0.079876 0.105069 0.140858 0.191080 0.260077 0.363847
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.058012 0.077312 0.102884 0.139720 0.192206 0.265500 0.377728
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.054687 0.073674 0.099147 0.136338 0.190121 0.266425 0.385333
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053497 0.072934 0.099373 0.138554 0.196154 0.279331 0.411521
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051026 0.070283 0.096790 0.136580 0.195916 0.282932 0.423621
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048955 0.068105 0.094769 0.135303 0.196596 0.287850 0.437911
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046399 0.065124 0.091466 0.131964 0.193976 0.287565 0.443841
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.044576 0.063133 0.089515 0.130541 0.194174 0.291562 0.456771
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.043308 0.061901 0.088617 0.130652 0.196709 0.299267 0.476093
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.041519 0.059829 0.086388 0.128616 0.195758 0.301350 0.486092
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040155 0.058341 0.084974 0.127771 0.196634 0.306361 0.501232
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040059 0.058758 0.086448 0.131492 0.204987 0.323901 0.538826
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.038820 0.057383 0.085123 0.130703 0.205923 0.329172 0.555184